Israeli military operations persist in southern Lebanon amid disputes over a June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement intended to enable phased IDF withdrawals and Lebanese army deployment in vacated zones. Defense Minister Israel Katz warned on October 14 that Hezbollah joining any Iranian attack would trigger expanded occupation of areas like Nabatieh and Litani, plus strikes on Beirut's Dahieh district. Airstrikes, artillery, and ground clearing continued through mid-October in districts including Tyre, Bint Jbeil, and Nabatieh, targeting Hezbollah infrastructure behind the self-declared "Yellow Line" security zone. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has intensified diplomacy with the U.S. and others to curb attacks and enforce the deal ahead of Israel's parliamentary elections later in October. These factors sustain trader focus on near-term dates for qualifying Israeli airstrikes or missile actions, with risks tied to Hezbollah responses and regional escalation signals.