Yisrael Beiteinu’s positioning around the 6-7% range in trader consensus reflects steady polling in the 5-10 seat band (roughly 4-8% of the vote) ahead of the October 27 election, with averages near 8 seats across recent surveys. Avigdor Lieberman’s repeated emphasis on universal conscription—military or civilian service for all Israelis, including Haredim—as a non-negotiable coalition condition, alongside calls for a secular constitution via expert drafting and referendum, has reinforced the party’s core secular-nationalist identity and appeal among Russian-speaking and right-leaning voters. This stance keeps the party competitive with other Zionist opposition lists but limits broader expansion, as no major shifts in support have emerged in the final weeks. Late developments in turnout among secular voters or surplus-vote agreements could still influence the final share.