Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s, often narrowly ahead of Likud, which explains the heaviest trader concentration on the 20–27 seat ranges. Late-campaign dynamics, including competition for opposition votes with B’Yachad and the Democrats, variable performance by threshold parties such as the Reservists-Economic list, and last-minute bloc consolidation efforts have kept outcomes fluid. Neither the pro-Netanyahu nor Zionist opposition camp currently projects a clear 61-seat majority, amplifying uncertainty over final seat totals. With voting eleven days away, remaining undecided voters and turnout among suburban and security-focused blocs are the main variables that could shift Yashar into the 26–27 range or hold it near 20–21.