Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 election shows Benny Gantz's Blue and White-National Unity list consistently below the 3.25 percent threshold at roughly 0.5-0.9 percent, reflecting sustained weakness in the centrist bloc. Voter support has shifted toward larger opposition lists such as Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's joint slate, amid ongoing fragmentation of anti-Netanyahu votes and emphasis on security priorities following October 2023. Gantz continues campaigning on cross-bloc unity appeals, yet primary sources and multiple pollsters record negligible movement. A late consolidation of undecided centrist or moderate voters, an unexpected diplomatic or security development within the resolution window, or higher-than-expected turnout among his remaining base could lift the share above 1 percent, though current evidence indicates such shifts remain limited.
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