**Recent polling averages place Ra'am (United Arab List) at a steady 5 Knesset seats in surveys from mid-to-late October 2026, translating to roughly 4–4.5% of the national vote share.** This positioning reflects consistent support among Arab voters for the party led by Mansour Abbas, which is contesting the October 27 election independently after the Supreme Court unanimously overturned a Central Elections Committee ban in early October. Ra'am’s results have shown little movement in the final weeks, with most pollsters projecting it above the 3.25% threshold but below levels that would deliver 6+ seats. Broader factors include overall Arab-list performance (typically 12–13 seats combined with the Joint List), surplus-vote agreements, and turnout dynamics in a closely contested race between the Netanyahu-aligned bloc and opposition parties. The market’s concentration on the 4–4.75% band aligns with this polling consensus and the limited volatility observed in late-cycle surveys.