Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election project the Religious Zionism–Zehut joint list at 5–7 seats, with averages near 6 amid variability across pollsters. The list benefits from its surplus-vote agreement with Likud and the technical merger incorporating Zehut, which together aim to minimize wasted right-wing votes and secure threshold passage. However, competition within the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc, including Otzma Yehudit and Haredi parties, plus roughly 30% undecided voters, contributes to seat-range uncertainty. These factors sustain tight trader pricing between the 4–5 and 6–7 seat bands, with limited probability assigned to outcomes below 4 or above 9.