SpaceX has completed roughly seven Falcon 9 and one Falcon Heavy launch through mid-October 2026, including Crew-13, multiple Starlink batches, CRS-35, and the classified USSF-481 mission. The remaining manifest lists only a handful of additional Falcon 9 flights—Bandwagon-5 rideshare, two more Starlink missions, and limited other opportunities—before month-end, with no Starship orbital attempts scheduled. This constrained cadence, typical reuse rates for operational boosters, and absence of surge capacity keep trader consensus firmly on fewer than 14 total launches. Any last-minute additions would need rapid certification or manifest shifts unlikely in the final two weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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