Wisconsin’s eight congressional districts feature two safe Democratic seats and six Republican-held ones, with trader consensus centering on three or four Democratic wins due to the competitiveness of WI-1 and WI-3. In WI-3, recent polling and forecasts show Democrat Rebecca Cooke in a toss-up or slight lead against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden, reflecting a rematch where local dynamics and national midterm trends favor the challenger. WI-1 remains closely contested, with recent surveys placing Democrat Mitchell Berman tied or narrowly ahead of incumbent Bryan Steil amid heavy spending and shifting race ratings. The remaining districts show limited movement, keeping outcomes of two or five-plus seats as lower-probability scenarios based on current evidence of district leans and campaign activity.
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