Iran maintains military presence on Hormuz Island amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict that began in February 2026, while Iranian forces conduct repeated strikes on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz using drones, missiles, and naval mines to deter unauthorized transits, particularly along the southern corridor near Oman. In the past week, at least a dozen tanker attacks were reported, coinciding with Iranian claims of full control and US assertions that oil flows have largely recovered despite the blockade and degraded coastal defenses. Negotiations remain stalled over Iranian conditions for reopening routes, with mediators active ahead of US midterms on November 3 and Israeli elections on October 27. These maritime dynamics, enforcement of naval restrictions, and any direct actions targeting Iranian-held territory or assets could shift assessments of control over the island.