Official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 61°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on October 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the 60-61°F outcome that captured full market consensus. This value sits at the long-term average high for the date under 1991-2020 normals, supported by mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover that limited overnight radiative cooling while allowing modest daytime warming. Trader positioning reflects confidence in the standardized airport dataset used for resolution, with negligible probability assigned to adjacent bins. Only a rare station-specific discrepancy or post-event data revision could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain uncommon for finalized climate reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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