Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs for Miami on July 2 point to a daytime high near 90–91 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on that bin. Subtropical July conditions—high dew points near 77 °F, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon sea-breeze convergence—normally produce maxima of 88–92 °F, while scattered thunderstorms can trim peak readings by 1–3 °F. No strong cold front or anomalous ridge is forecast through the period, keeping the distribution centered on climatological norms and limiting odds for extremes above 93 °F or below 88 °F. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely reinforce or slightly adjust these probabilities ahead of market close.