**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on October 13, 2026, call for a daytime high near 93°F under partly to mostly sunny afternoon skies, with southerly winds of 10–15 mph and elevated humidity pushing heat indices above 100°F.** This places the expected maximum squarely in the 92–93°F range that currently holds the highest market-implied probability at 53%. The pattern reflects a persistent warm, moist air mass ahead of a cold front arriving later in the week, keeping conditions well above the historical average high of roughly 80–81°F for the date. Model consensus and recent observations from Dallas-area stations show no significant cooling or precipitation through the afternoon, supporting the concentrated trader positioning around the low-90s bins while assigning low odds to outcomes outside 90–95°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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