Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts shows a cooling trend into October 15, with Chengdu expected to see increasing cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that will limit daytime heating. This follows warmer conditions on October 13–14 (highs near 27–28°C), driven by a regional weather system enhancing moisture and reducing solar insolation across the Sichuan Basin. The resulting suppression of maximum temperatures favors peaks near 23–25°C, with 24–25°C emerging as the market consensus due to typical autumn diurnal ranges and high humidity moderating extremes. Updated NHC-style guidance or local observations tomorrow will refine resolution around official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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