Beatriz Mojica Morga leads trader pricing for the Guerrero gubernatorial contest after Morena designated her state coordinator for the Defense of the Transformation in September 2026, following internal surveys and mirror polls that placed her ahead of rivals including Esthela Damián Peralta. National party leadership reaffirmed the role in mid-October and confirmed Félix Salgado Macedonio will not seek the nomination under internal rules barring nepotism. Multiple September and October surveys show Mojica with 30-plus-point leads over PRI contender Manuel Añorve Baños and smaller shares for PAN, Movimiento Ciudadano, and other listed aspirants, while Morena party preference holds near 46 percent ahead of the June 2027 vote. Independent candidacies remain in early signature-gathering stages with limited reported momentum.