Morena holds a leading position in trader pricing for the Guerrero state congress election, reflecting its current majority in the legislature and consistent polling advantages ahead of the 2027 vote. Recent internal party surveys and statewide preference measurements show the party ahead by wide margins for related executive races, supported by its established structure and alliances with PT and PVEM. Opposition parties including PRI, PAN, and MC trail significantly in available data, though they have begun organizational efforts in key municipalities. The contest remains fluid due to the extended timeline to election day, potential candidate nominations, coalition dynamics, and regional factors such as turnout in Acapulco and security conditions that could shift legislative seat projections.