Morena holds the strongest position in Guerrero's state congress race due to its commanding polling lead ahead of the 2027 elections and established majority in the current legislature. Beatriz Mojica's designation as the party's state coordinator, backed by consistent double-digit advantages over PRI and PAN challengers in multiple surveys, reinforces expectations of continued dominance for the Morena-PT-PVEM bloc. Recent internal party consolidation and federal-level gains by the ruling coalition have further supported trader consensus on Morena as the frontrunner. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with PRI showing modest secondary support while PAN and others lag significantly. Upcoming candidate selections and coalition negotiations in the coming months could shift seat projections if they alter turnout dynamics or voter mobilization in key districts.