Morena holds the leading position in trader assessments for control of the Guerrero state Congress ahead of the June 2027 concurrent elections, reflecting its current majority in the 46-seat body and consistent polling leads for its designated coordinator in related gubernatorial surveys. The party completed internal selection processes in September 2026, positioning Beatriz Mojica to head its state effort amid broader national preparations for the legislative renewal. Opposition parties including PT, PRI, and PAN trail notably in implied probabilities, consistent with Morena’s dominance in most recent state legislative outcomes and limited recent shifts in local alliances or voter surveys. The contest remains competitive because coalition dynamics, candidate registration deadlines in early 2027, and concurrent federal races could alter seat distributions, particularly if opposition forces consolidate or turnout patterns favor specific districts.