Foreign intervention in Gaza remains stalled under the US-brokered ceasefire framework that took effect in October 2025. An International Stabilization Force authorized by UN Security Council Resolution 2803 has secured limited troop pledges from countries including Morocco, Kosovo, and Albania, yet none have deployed inside the territory as of mid-October 2026. Israel has expanded its control beyond the designated Yellow Line to roughly two-thirds of Gaza while continuing targeted strikes, and the planned Palestinian technocratic administration stays outside the enclave pending resolution of sequencing disputes over Hamas disarmament. These barriers have kept trader-implied probabilities low for qualifying foreign military entry by year-end deadlines. Scheduled diplomatic reviews and any shifts in Israeli coalition positions could still alter timelines before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions