Florida's 22nd congressional district remains one of the tightest House contests heading into the November 3 general election, with Democrat Pia Dandiya and Republican Casey Askar locked in a toss-up race following their August primaries. The open seat, reshaped by recent redistricting, features a narrow partisan balance that has produced polling averages near 50-50 and prompted multiple forecasters to shift ratings toward toss-up status. Competitive fundraising, overlapping voter concerns over the economy and health care, and limited separation in early general-election surveys have kept implied probabilities clustered across narrow margin buckets. Late-cycle polling shifts, candidate debates, national economic data, or turnout mobilization in Broward, Palm Beach, and surrounding counties could widen the gap before Election Day.
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