Florida's 13th congressional district features a competitive general election on November 3, 2026, between Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna and Democratic nominee Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general, alongside independent Tony D'Arrigo. The seat, covering parts of Pinellas County including St. Petersburg and Clearwater, carries a modest Republican lean per historical voting patterns and recent redistricting, yet rates as Lean Republican across multiple forecasters. Recent Democratic primary consolidation behind Gray, combined with her strong third-quarter fundraising and one late-summer poll showing a narrow lead, have kept the contest close despite Luna's prior victories by wider margins. Trader pricing on narrow victory ranges reflects uncertainty over turnout among swing voters and independents, with limited new polling in the final weeks before Election Day likely to determine whether any separation emerges.