Recent mid-decade redistricting by Florida’s Republican legislature and Gov. Ron DeSantis has shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District southward and eastward, incorporating more Republican-leaning voters and diluting prior Democratic advantages in Hispanic areas. The revised map produced a district where Donald Trump carried a strong majority in 2024, with Republicans now holding a registration edge of roughly 41% to 29% over Democrats. Five-term Democratic incumbent Darren Soto faces Republican challenger Dan Green, a Navy veteran and former Trump administration Defense official who won a crowded August primary. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Lean Republican, and trader pricing reflects this structural change ahead of the November 3 general election.