Austin Rogers (R) and Amanda Green (D) are the nominees in the open Florida 2nd congressional district race, an R+8 PVI seat vacated by retiring incumbent Neal Dunn. Both advanced through crowded August 18 primaries, with Rogers securing the Republican nod at 30.3% and Green taking the Democratic side at 33.4%. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing that concentrates probability on a Republican margin of 5-15 points. The race remains within expected bounds for the district absent major late developments such as turnout surges in key counties, high-profile endorsements, or candidate-specific events that could shift the final vote spread before November 3.