**Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026, in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters.** Georgia law requires a majority for outright victory; absent one, the top two advance to a December 1 runoff. Bishop won the seat with 56.3% in 2024 and faces no primary opposition or significant third-party challengers, while Day secured the Republican nomination unopposed. Prediction markets currently price Bishop’s overall win probability above 95%, reflecting the district’s D+4 partisan lean and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. With only two major candidates on the ballot and no late-breaking developments that would fragment the vote or suppress majority turnout, traders assign high odds to Bishop clearing 50% in the initial round.