**El Salvador's February 28, 2027, legislative election features Nuevas Ideas (NI) as the clear frontrunner for first place, leaving the contest for second place among a fragmented field of opposition parties.** Current polling shows NI projected to secure 51–56 of 60 seats, while ARENA, Vamos, and PCN each poll in low single digits with limited seat projections. ARENA holds a modest edge in the market at 42% for second place, ahead of Vamos at 27.5% and PCN at 25%, reflecting its historical status and recent candidate announcements, though all face structural weakness after heavy 2024 losses. Key recent developments include the TSE's election call, ongoing candidate registration through November 2026, internal primaries by major opposition groups, and the new overseas constituency for six seats. The race remains tight due to low overall opposition support, lack of unified polling leadership, and uncertainty over diaspora turnout and campaign dynamics that could elevate one party above the others before voting.