**Eileen Gu, born in the United States in 2003, holds U.S. citizenship by birth and has represented China in international freestyle skiing since 2019, including at the 2022 and 2026 Winter Olympics.** China does not permit dual nationality, which has fueled ongoing questions about her status, yet no U.S. government action, denaturalization filing, or public record indicates any revocation process. Recent DOJ denaturalization efforts target fraud, espionage, or concealed crimes in other cases and have not involved her. Traders assign a 98.5% probability to no revocation because U.S. law rarely strips birthright citizenship absent specific statutory triggers such as naturalization fraud, none of which are evident or alleged here. Her continued competition, endorsements, and public appearances without interference reinforce the market's assessment. Remote scenarios that could shift odds include newly disclosed evidence of prior misrepresentation during any formal process or an unprecedented policy shift targeting dual nationals, though both remain highly speculative given established legal standards and her profile.