**In the early stages of the 2026–27 efbet Liga (Bulgarian First League), trader focus centers on the bottom of the regular-season table, where Cherno More (6 points from 11 matches, -11 goal difference), Septemvri Sofia, Lokomotiv Sofia, Dunav Ruse, Lokomotiv Plovdiv, and Botev Vratsa (all on 8–9 points) occupy the positions feeding into the relegation group.** The 14-team league splits after the regular season, with the bottom six entering a relegation round that determines automatic drops and a possible playoff. Recent results have reinforced the gap: Levski Sofia, CSKA Sofia, and Ludogorets sit clear at the top with strong records and positive differentials, while the lower sides have struggled for wins and clean sheets. Key recent matches, including Cherno More’s 0-2 loss to Levski and Septemvri’s 2-3 home defeat to Dunav, highlight defensive vulnerabilities and limited scoring output among the bottom clubs. Upcoming schedule difficulty, form streaks, and any squad changes will shape movement before the split, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current implied probabilities favoring the teams already anchored at the foot of the standings.