Sean Combs remains in federal custody serving a 50-month sentence handed down in October 2025 after his July 2025 conviction on two Mann Act counts tied to transporting individuals for prostitution. Recent Bureau of Prisons records list his projected release in early March 2028, following multiple adjustments for program credits and disciplinary actions, including allegations of special treatment and contraband that extended the date from January 2028. Ongoing appeals and prison transfers amid reported incidents have not altered the timeline enough to allow freedom before 2027 at the earliest. Traders see the extended sentence structure and lack of imminent resolution as the dominant factor behind the 89.8% implied probability against a 2026 release.