The Red Clay Strays hold a commanding market lead for CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026, driven by their 2025 win that ended Old Dominion’s seven-year streak, followed by a repeat ACM Group of the Year victory in May and the June release of their album *Grateful*. Nominees announced September 10 place them against Lady A, Little Big Town, Midland, and Old Dominion, yet trader consensus reflects the Alabama band’s sustained momentum, sold-out tours, and critical praise for their gospel-infused live performances. Old Dominion sits at a distant second with residual name recognition but faces headwinds after the prior upset. Voting by CMA members closes October 27 ahead of the November 18 ceremony, leaving room for late shifts if new streaming or chart data emerges.