Recent polling for Chihuahua's 2027 gubernatorial race shows a tight contest between frontrunners Cruz Pérez Cuéllar of Morena and Marco Bonilla Mendoza of the PAN, with results alternating leads by single digits or within margins of error across multiple surveys conducted in September and October 2026. Morena's late-September designation of Pérez Cuéllar as state coordinator, following internal measurements where he narrowly outperformed Andrea Chávez Treviño, has consolidated support in that bloc while the PAN emphasizes its current state governance record. Roughly 9-13% of voters remain undecided, and potential opposition coalitions involving the PRI could narrow or widen gaps. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the early stage of candidate formalization, poll volatility, and the absence of decisive campaign events more than a year before the vote.
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