Recent polling for Chihuahua's state legislative contests shows Morena and its allies holding a narrow edge over PAN in statewide intention-to-vote measures, though margins remain within sampling error and vary sharply by municipality. PAN retains strength in the capital while Morena leads in Juárez, Cuauhtémoc and other districts. The current PAN-led congress's June electoral reforms, partially invalidated by the Supreme Court in September with requirements for adjustments on foreign interference and nepotism before the 2026-2027 process, add procedural uncertainty. Candidate selection within Morena and potential opposition coalitions further influence trader assessments of which party or bloc secures the largest share of seats.