Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus leads the Campeche gubernatorial race for the 2027 election as the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition's state coordinator, a designation formalized in August 2026 after he secured internal support and took leave from his Ciudad del Carmen mayoral post. A mid-October Rubrum poll showed him at 44.6% preference, ahead of Movimiento Ciudadano's Eliseo Fernández Montúfar at 32%, reflecting his local record and party machinery. Fernández, the 2021 runner-up, faces ongoing civil and electoral proceedings, including a recent moral damages ruling and appeals that could affect eligibility. Minor candidates such as Carlos Ucán Yam and others register negligible support in early surveys. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring Gutiérrez Lazarus while leaving room for shifts as formal candidacies and coalitions finalize ahead of the June 2027 vote.