Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Goiás for the October 25 presidential runoff, driven by his 53.6% first-round share in the state against Lula’s 31% and the consolidation of right-leaning votes behind the Liberal Party candidate. Former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado’s endorsement, alongside support from other defeated conservatives, has further unified the center-right electorate in this agricultural heartland where bolsonarismo has shown consistent strength. National post-first-round polls showing Flávio ahead by roughly five points of valid votes reinforce trader expectations of similar patterns in Goiás. Late shifts could still occur through unusually high abstention on the right, intensified Lula mobilization in urban centers, or unforeseen economic or legal developments before runoff day.