**Julieta Ramírez Padilla leads the Baja California governor market at 72.5% as the presumptive Morena-PVEM candidate for the June 6, 2027 election, following her September 2026 designation as state coordinator of the 4T after winning internal party surveys by a wide margin (9.75/10).** Morena currently governs the state and holds a substantial polling advantage over opposition parties such as the PAN. Ramírez Padilla, a 31-year-old senator on leave with prior roles as a federal deputy and close associate of incumbent Governor Marina del Pilar Ávila Olmeda, consolidated support across most measured attributes in the internal process against rivals including Ismael Burgueño Ruiz. Opposition figures such as Gina Cruz Blackledge and others remain at low single-digit or fractional implied probabilities, reflecting the extended timeline to the vote and the ruling alliance’s structural position. Recent PAN criticism citing pending electoral complaints against Ramírez has not materially altered trader assessments. Scheduled milestones, including formal candidacy registration and ongoing national party coordination, continue to anchor positioning ahead of the contest.