Assimi Goïta holds the transitional presidency under a 2025 charter that sets a five-year renewable term without elections until the country is deemed pacified, positioning him to remain in office at least through 2030 barring unforeseen changes. The junta maintains control of Bamako despite an April 2026 offensive by JNIM and Azawad-linked groups that killed the defense minister and prompted Goïta to assume that portfolio himself. Recent military operations include the October 2026 recapture of Kidal, while governance continues through cabinet sessions, economic planning targeting 6.3% growth, and diplomatic engagements with partners such as Algeria and Rwanda. Political parties remain dissolved since 2025, with no scheduled elections or formal transition timeline. These structural and security factors shape trader assessments of near-term removal risks.