Recent IMF revisions and private-sector surveys anchor trader sentiment around 30-35% for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation. The Fund’s October World Economic Outlook lifted its average-inflation forecast to 32.5% from 30.4%, citing slower GDP growth now projected at 2.1%. Central Bank REM polls continue to cluster at 30%, while BBVA Research targets 29% year-end. Monthly readings have eased to 1.7% in August—the lowest in 14 months—yet remain near 2% amid regulated-price adjustments and subdued activity. These data points keep the 30.0-34.9% bucket at 60.5% implied probability, with the 25-29.9% range at 35.5%, reflecting consensus on gradual disinflation without a sharp break lower before year-end.