The entrenched public feud between Alix Earle and Alex Cooper remains the dominant factor anchoring the 85% market-implied probability of No. Earle’s September 2026 Netflix reality series *Earle Meets World* featured her most direct criticisms to date, labeling Cooper manipulative and toxic while recounting discomfort with how their prior 2023 *Call Her Daddy* episode was handled. Those comments, paired with Earle’s stated intimidation and reluctance to engage further, have eliminated any visible path to reconciliation or a booking. Recent coverage through October has centered on Earle’s skincare launches, fashion campaigns, and family projects rather than any podcast outreach or olive branch from Cooper’s side. With the December 31 deadline approaching and no new catalysts on the horizon, traders see little realistic scenario for an appearance.