**Absence of any official confirmation from Alix Earle, Lando Norris, or their representatives keeps the “No” outcome heavily favored at 89.5% implied probability.** Rumors began after their June 2026 sightings at the Monaco Grand Prix and Cannes, followed by a July London outing at a private members’ club and reports of low-key group dates while “taking things very slowly.” Both celebrities have remained silent on the matter, consistent with Norris’s established privacy around his personal life. September sightings of their exes together generated additional tabloid chatter but produced no new developments or public statements linking Earle and Norris. With no verified announcements or escalating public appearances through mid-October, traders view an official acknowledgment before year-end as unlikely absent a clear catalyst.