Recent polling consistently shows the PAN holding a double-digit lead in party preference over Morena in Aguascalientes ahead of the June 2027 gubernatorial election, bolstered by the current administration's record on security and economic growth. Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez, formally designated as Morena's coordinator and presumptive nominee, trails PAN frontrunners Antonio Martín del Campo and Leonardo Montañez Castro in head-to-head scenarios by margins of 10-20 points. The PAN's internal selection process, including a planned survey, remains unresolved, splitting trader attention between its two leading profiles while smaller parties like the PRI and Movimiento Ciudadano register minimal support. The formal electoral process launch in early October has not yet produced major shifts, leaving room for coalition talks or late developments to influence final positioning before campaigns begin in 2027.