The Aguascalientes gubernatorial race for the June 2027 election remains in its early pre-campaign phase following the formal start of the electoral process in mid-October 2026. Trader consensus reflects PAN's longstanding structural advantage in the state, with party preference polling consistently placing it ahead of Morena-PT-PVEM by roughly 15-20 points. Leonardo Montañez Castro and Antonio Martín del Campo lead the listed contenders as the primary PAN aspirants, while Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez holds the strongest position among opposition figures. Internal PAN surveys and head-to-head matchups show these candidates maintaining double-digit leads, though undecided voters and the absence of finalized nominations keep probabilities compressed. Upcoming party decisions on candidacies and the start of precampaigns in early 2027 represent the next potential catalysts for separation.
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