PAN's established lead in recent state polling and its record under Governor Tere Jiménez have positioned the party as the clear frontrunner to secure the most seats in the Aguascalientes state congress during the June 2027 elections. Multiple surveys from late 2026 show PAN support in the 41–52% range, well ahead of Morena and its allies, with projections indicating a comfortable majority for the opposition bloc. The official start of the electoral process in October 2026 has intensified focus on potential alliances involving PAN, MC, PRI, or PRD, which could further consolidate the vote. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these dynamics, while Morena's lower implied probability stems from persistent challenges in this traditional PAN stronghold. Upcoming candidate selections and alliance decisions within the next several months remain key variables that could shift seat outcomes.