The distribution of trader probabilities across the three leading age brackets for the 2028 Democratic nominee reflects a wide-open field in which early national polling shows viable contenders spanning multiple generations. Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom, both in their early sixties, top most surveys, while Pete Buttigieg sits in the mid-forties and younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff poll in the double digits. No candidate has formally entered the race, leaving room for shifts as the revised primary calendar—beginning with South Carolina in January 2028—tests coalition-building across demographics. Late developments in polling, endorsements, or candidate decisions could consolidate support within one bracket or fragment it further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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