Galatasaray enter the 2026-27 Süper Lig campaign as the clear market leader after securing a fourth straight title in 2025-26 and opening the new season with 16 points from seven matches, including a 3-1 win over Kasımpaşa. Simulations from multiple models assign the club roughly 37-40% title probability, reflecting squad depth and continuity. Beşiktaş sit second on 15 points after a 2-1 victory against Kocaelispor and trail closely in projected outcomes at around 25-28%. Fenerbahçe, despite heavy summer investment and a 3-0 win at Rizespor, sit fourth on 13 points with lower implied probabilities amid variable early form. Amedspor’s surprising third-place standing has lifted its market share to the low teens, while Trabzonspor and the rest of the field trail with single-digit or lower chances based on current results and historical gaps in resources.