Édouard Philippe holds a commanding lead in trader positioning for the 2027 French presidential race against Gabriel Attal due to his stronger recent polling performance in the center-right space and proactive steps toward consolidating support. Philippe has maintained an edge in first-round intentions, often polling in the mid-teens when tested alone or ahead when both compete, while Attal trails further back. On October 11 in Dijon, the two former prime ministers met at the Radical Party congress and voiced shared interest in uniting the center and right, yet diverged sharply—Attal pushed for a primary or selection mechanism alongside a broad coalition reaching social democrats, while Philippe prioritized a joint government program first and issued an October 8 letter calling for November talks on policy foundations without a primary. Philippe's recent focus on retirement and immigration proposals has also kept him more visible. These dynamics, alongside persistent fragmentation on the right and Le Pen's overall lead, underpin the current implied probabilities.