KMT incumbency advantages from the 2022 results, combined with coordinated nomination agreements with the TPP to avoid vote-splitting in contested races, underpin trader consensus that the party will capture the largest share of mayoral and magisterial positions on November 28. Recent polls show KMT candidates leading or competitive in several counties and cities like Taichung and Kaohsiung, while DPP challengers have narrowed gaps in New Taipei and Taipei amid President Lai Ching-te’s approval ratings above 50 percent. Legislative actions on senior subsidies and cash handouts have highlighted opposition influence in the Yuan, yet DPP favorability remains higher than KMT or TPP levels. These dynamics, alongside limited TPP local infrastructure, sustain the wide implied probability gap ahead of the nine-in-one contests.