The Uruguayan Primera División 2026 race for runner-up remains wide open, with traders pricing nearly every club at identical implied probabilities amid a congested Clausura table and competitive Anual standings. Montevideo City Torque tops the Clausura after 10 rounds on 22 points, but Liverpool sits just one point back, while Peñarol and Nacional share third on 20 points following Nacional’s 1-0 win over Cerro Largo and Peñarol’s late 1-1 draw with Progreso. Peñarol still leads the Anual on 63 points, yet Deportivo Maldonado, City Torque, and Nacional trail closely enough that late swings in form, remaining fixtures, and head-to-head results could reorder the final positions. This depth of contenders across the league keeps the market tightly bunched.