Universitario holds the strongest trader consensus for the Liga 1 title at 60.5% implied probability, driven by its balanced aggregate standing, proven title pedigree, and consistent contributions from forwards like Álex Valera amid a competitive split-season format. Alianza Lima leads the overall points table after a dominant Apertura but trails slightly in market pricing, reflecting its more variable Clausura results. Mid-tier sides such as ADT, Deportivo Garcilaso, and FBC Melgar sit in the low-30s range due to solid recent form and goal-scoring output, while Sporting Cristal’s 13% odds reflect a weaker aggregate position despite Clausura momentum. Remaining fixtures, including key clashes in the final Clausura rounds, continue to shape these probabilities as the playoff or aggregate resolution approaches.