Alexander Zverev captured the 2026 US Open men's singles title by defeating Ben Shelton in the final, establishing him as the confirmed champion and driving the market's near-certain pricing. The German top seed advanced through a demanding draw on hard courts, including a semifinal win over Karen Khachanov and a quarterfinal victory over Botic van de Zandschulp, while Shelton's run featured an upset of defending champion Carlos Alcaraz. Zverev's consistent form across the fortnight, combined with his prior 2026 French Open success, aligned with trader consensus on the outcome. Post-tournament developments such as ongoing ATP events have not altered the result, though any unforeseen administrative review or scoring dispute could theoretically shift resolution, albeit with negligible probability.