Malcolm Todd’s “Earrings” commands the strongest trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability for the #2 US Spotify song of 2026 thanks to its sustained dominance after a major TikTok resurgence. Originally released in 2024, the track surged in 2026 with viral traction, multiple daily US Spotify #1s, and consistent top-five finishes through October, supported by radio adds and cumulative streams exceeding 700 million domestically. Recent weekly charts show it maintaining strong positions amid competition from newer releases like those from Taylor Swift and Olivia Rodrigo, while older tracks such as “Man I Need” by Olivia Dean trail at 18.1%. Traders view the song’s momentum and historical patterns of year-end Spotify rankings as decisive, though late-year surges from other contenders remain a swing factor before Spotify Wrapped data finalizes the outcome.